Betting on a draw is, first of all, an opportunity to hit the jackpot quickly.
Due to the nature of football, draws are much more common than in other popular team sports. It is not uncommon for a clearly superior team to lose points to a draw against an underdog. Today we will talk about how to exploit the peaceful expense of the two teams to your advantage.
What does a draw look like in the list of betting companies
A draw is considered to be equal in some way. It can be a draw on goals, a draw on points, a draw on other statistical indicators. A draw is possible as a result of the entire match or one of the halves, as well as any specific time period.
In the betting list you can find many types of bets that take into account a draw:
- “draw” or “X” – the outcome of the game, half, regular time, another segment;
- “1X”, “X2” – a bet on the victory or draw of one of the teams;
- “no draw”, “12” – the victory of one of the teams;
- Extra time is the equivalent of a clear bet on a draw in matches where a draw in regulation time is possible. These are often cup matches or return games in two-match encounters;
- a bet on the exact score – 0-0, 1-1, 2-2, etc.
- “Total under than 0.5” is the equivalent of a zero draw.
It often happens that a draw results in an expense. For example, if a player takes a handicap (0) on one of the two opponents, a draw will result in a full refund of the bet.
How to choose a match to bet on a draw
Undoubtedly, football has a much higher percentage of draws than other popular team sports. However, a strategy based on statistics alone will not produce the desired result. Because from season to season the number of draws played in each league varies.
It is because there is no long-term statistical pattern in football leagues that it makes sense to analyse each match separately. The probability of a draw increases under the following conditions:
- The stronger team plays away. It is not uncommon for an underdog to play with the support of the home crowd and often score points against the favourites.
- A bet on a win for the favourite goes for odds from 2.00. There is a reason why analysts who put up the odds are so high on the success of the stronger team. Don’t ignore that fact.
- The favourite is not motivated to win at all costs. There are times when a clear underdog is fighting for points, while the favourites have already solved their problems and are playing without looking back. Or they simply have a certain margin, so losing points will not be fatal for them.
- The stronger club does not have the leading performers in the attacking line-up. In this case, it is much more difficult to break through the defensive redoubts of an outsider.
The harsh weather conditions hamper result-oriented football. The less the favourites can score, the more chances the weaker team will have to draw.
Strategies for betting on a draw
There are those bettors who take the necessary factors into account and place single bets on the draw. The advantage is the high odds – usually above 3.50. But the clear disadvantage is the unpredictability of draw results. Often teams snatch victory in the final minutes of the game.
Therefore, betting shop clients go for special tricks, coming up with a variety of tactics that allow you to play with profit:
- One such strategy for a draw is betting on a draw in the first half.
The probability that none of the teams will take the lead in the first half is quite high. But for betting, you should choose matches from grassroots championships. So you can catch a bet with good potential at quite working odds of 1.70-2.50. Although single bets on a draw at a distance will be quite meaningless just because of the lower odds.
- An interesting strategy for betting on a draw at a distance is the “2 out of 5” strategy.
The essence of the “2 out of 5” system for draws is a combination of careful selection of matches using a system type of bet.
The average odds for a draw are 3.10-3.30 and for a double are 9.61-10.89. In a 2 out of 5 system, you make up 10 of these express bets. If at least one of them wins, i.e. two matches out of the chosen five end in a draw, the total bet will almost pay off or get a small plus. And if there is a draw in three or more matches, the system bet will make a substantial profit.
- Another profitable tactic for betting on a draw is a surebet (safety net) in live.
When playing for a draw using this strategy, you should follow a clear algorithm:
- first, choose a match in which the odds for the favorite to win are around 1.70-1.90, and the bet “one of the teams wins” (or “12”) is quoted at the level of 1.25-1.35;
- then place a bet on this market in the pre-match 80-85% of the amount you have allocated for the bet;
- and follow the game in Live mode;
- in cases where the favorite scores, the odds for a draw usually rise to 6.00-11.00;
- then you can bet the remaining 15-20% of the amount on a draw.
With any of the two outcomes, the player will be in the black. Such arbitrage situations in the betting industry are called surebets. But here it must be said right away that there are no win-win strategies. There are two dangers:
- Firstly, if the teams do not score goals in the match, there simply will not be a chance to make a second bet. So you should look for such matches where the favorite is determined to play only to win.
- The second is if the underdog scores the first goal. The thing is that in this case the odds will go up not to 6.00, but to 4.00-4.50, which is simply not enough for a surebet. However, it is still necessary to bet the remaining amount for safety and to minimize the loss.
The disadvantage of this strategy is the small winnings if one of the opponents wins. Plus it requires careful selection of events, because if the bet loses, it will offset numerous previous runs.
- Some players choose to bet on a draw strategy “goal in the first 15 minutes – no.”
There is evidence that in only 18% of matches a goal is scored in the first 15 minutes. The coefficient for absence is in the region of 1.30-1.35. The main point here is to select games:
- supporters of this strategy propose to play European leagues and European cups, but not high-scoring championships;
- the class of teams encountered in this case should be plus or minus equal;
- you should also look at the statistics of recent matches and face-to-face confrontations and pay attention to goals in the starting segments;
- meetings where the odds for a total over 2.5 goals are less than 1.85, or for a draw in the first 15 minutes – more than 1.35 are not suitable.
At the head of this tactic is a thorough analysis of games and teams, but it is not recommended to bet on a draw in the first 15 minutes of each match.