If it isn’t your first bet, you’ve probably already heard how the Pythagorean formula helps experienced bettors. Let’s discuss what it is and how to use it. Before that, please note that beginners shouldn’t apply this formula in practice yet, because it’s necessary to know about betting and mathematics for a positive effect. However, it’s useful for everyone to learn about it.
So, let’s begin with the fact that the Pythagorean formula is usually used in basketball and other team sports that are especially popular in the United States. It was created by Bill James. This American analyst created a formula by relying on the Pythagorean theorem. Interestingly, the famous American himself made bets on football, baseball, and other sports. First of all, statistics help correctly calculate the chances of a certain team winning. For example, in baseball, usually, it’s not only the percentage of winnings but also points and runs. Over time, the Pythagorean formula was adapted for football.
Available data on the number of goals scored by the opponent is more important than information about their victories since every scored ball or puck contains hidden data about the tactics of the game, the skills of the players, and many other factors. In addition, the defeat definitely doesn’t depend on favourable circumstances; a whole range of factors is involved in this.
Football itself is an extremely unpredictable sport. It depends on several unpredictable factors. One of the tips for successful betting is as follows: study and analyse all available information about goals, missed opportunities, successes, and defeats. Thus, you can see the absence or presence of a correlation between the rating in the table and the win percentage. If your results turn out to be higher than expected, they are successful. If the calculations according to the Pythagorean formula turned out to be small, the team will finish the tournament with an extremely bad score. Note that there are always exceptions, though they’re quite rare.
Pythagorean formula in football
Next, let’s talk about some of the difficulties that arise when using this formula. First of all, it’s very rare for sports meetings to end with a score of 0:0 in America, which causes a lot of difficulties for the spectators. After all, the Pythagorean formula can’t be used to identify this outcome, and quite often our games end in a draw.
Another problem is external conditions because they often influence the absence or presence of a goal. Of course, these are football tournaments, after all. Clearly, some competitons are easier to win, other are more difficult. The player can also be removed, which can’t be considered during the calculations. Of course, the human factor can also influence the outcome. Although, it can be easily eliminated with the help of video replay.
The American analyst initially raised to the power of 2. This helped to reduce the difference between expected and actual winnings. In football, you can apply the same strategy. To do this, you raise to the power of 1.35.
Then, you find out the percentage of winnings. As mentioned earlier, a draw can’t be calculated using a formula. For this reason, in football, the percentage of winning matches is equal to the percentage of possible points earned.
You can get 114 points for 38 rounds of the championship, 3 points in each. If the potential winning percentage is above 50, everyone immediately understands that 57 points will be quite enough for the season.
The transformation of the Pythagorean formula is associated with a change in the numbers in the numerator and denominator. In addition, the number that you raise to the power of is measured by the number of goals scored and not scored. Thanks to this fact, you can understand if there are any unstable factors in this fight. The formula is often used to understand the prospects for the further development of teams and whether they can stay at the same level or not.
In the national championship of France, the Rennes team scored 58 points, despite the final score of 50:44. The Pythagorean formula helped to find out whether the correct number of points was assigned to the team.
Clearly, the possibility of ending the game in a draw is much higher if the opposing team is mediocre and rarely stands out with good results. Reducing the relationship between the present and the possible number indicates the number of dependence on the value.
Application of the formula
Again, formulas are often used to calculate the correctness of scoring based on the total score of the match. For example, in 2011/2012, during the passage of the national championship of England, the Newcastle team had 65 points. The calculations turned out to be 10 points higher than expected.
Later it turned out that the team often won, but mostly they were victories with a small score difference. However, the team also had a couple of losses. That’s why they were able to score so many points. Such results are usually difficult to replicate. That’s exactly what happened in the 2013-2014 season when they were able to score only 41 points. Experts have found that some teams do have extraordinary abilities, but this is more of an exception than a rule.
According to statistics, the points that the teams earn during the current season are used best when analysing in connection with the indicators of previous years. For example, the Norwich Premier League team in 1992/1993. Then the players were able to reach 3rd place, earning 72 points in 42 rounds. Despite the goal difference being small, with a score of 61:65 and 16 victories. According to the Pythagorean formula, the expected performance was 55 points. And in the 1993/1994 season, Norwich dropped to 12th place with 53 points.
Summing up, the performance of each season needs to be analysed, despite this being a very complex and lengthy process. Thanks to the Pythagorean formula, you can make the right choice, especially in the long term, for example, when it comes to the results of a tournament or championship. If you’re good at mathematics and you like simple calculations, this lesson won’t be difficult. Unfortunately, sometimes external circumstances influence the results. In such cases, even the most correct calculation won’t help you. Good luck!